Will Montenegro win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly defines its resolution criteria based on the outcome of UEFA EURO 2028. The primary resolution source is official communication from the governing body, UEFA. The rules explicitly permit early resolution to No if Montenegro is mathematically eliminated at any stage, such as during qualifying or group play. Additionally, clear long-stop provisions specify that if the tournament is cancelled or not concluded by July 23, 2028, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Montenegro will win the UEFA EURO 2028 football tournament.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Montenegro wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Montenegro to win the tournament according to UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed beyond July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution decisions rely primarily on official information from UEFA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed beyond this time or no winner is declared
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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