Will Liechtenstein win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Last captured price
2.85¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.85%
$1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the winner of UEFA EURO 2028 according to official information from UEFA, with credible reporting as a backup. Participants should note the early resolution clause: the market can resolve to No before the tournament concludes if Liechtenstein is mathematically or officially eliminated from contention during qualifying or playoff stages. If the tournament is cancelled, postponed past July 23, 2028, or no winner is crowned by that date, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Liechtenstein will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Liechtenstein wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible at any point for Liechtenstein to win the tournament under UEFA rules, including elimination during qualifying or playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and conclusion cutoff: — A winner must be declared by this time, otherwise the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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