Will Kosovo win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Last captured price
2.6¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.6%
$3.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has straightforward criteria tied to the outcome of UEFA EURO 2028, with UEFA cited as the primary resolution source. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which triggers an early resolution to 'No' as soon as it becomes mathematically or officially impossible for the team to win, such as elimination during qualifying or the tournament proper. Additionally, if the tournament is postponed past July 23, 2028, or cancelled, the market resolves to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kosovo will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. It features specific provisions for resolving early to No upon elimination or resolving to Other if the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond July 23, 2028.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Kosovo wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Kosovo to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA, including being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or if there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe. Official information from UEFA is the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Tournament conclusion cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed beyond 11:59 PM ET on this date, or has no winner declared by then.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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