Will Israel win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official outcome from UEFA, with credible reporting permitted as a backup. The rules include an early resolution clause allowing the market to resolve to No as soon as the team is mathematically or officially eliminated from contention, such as during qualifying or playoff rounds. There is also an explicit deadline of July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, after which cancellation or postponement triggers a resolution to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Israel will win the UEFA EURO 2028 football tournament. It includes a specific resolution fallback to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past late July 2028, or left without a declared winner.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Israel wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Israel to win the tournament under UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed beyond July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed past this time or if no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, with a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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