Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Last captured price
1.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.25%
$4.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clear and standard rules for a major international football tournament. The outcome relies directly on official information from UEFA designating the tournament winner. Early resolution is permitted to resolve to No if Greece is mathematically eliminated during qualification or tournament play. A clear longstop date of July 23, 2028, handles potential cancellations or extended postponements without ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Greece will win the UEFA EURO 2028 soccer tournament.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Greece wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Greece to win the tournament according to UEFA rules, such as through elimination in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed beyond July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and winner declaration deadline: — Tournament must declare a winner by 11:59 PM ET on this date, or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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