Will Gibraltar win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves based on the official tournament winner according to UEFA, with credible reporting as a secondary source. Participants should note that the market features an early resolution mechanism: it can resolve to No ahead of the final tournament if Gibraltar is mathematically eliminated during qualifying rounds or playoffs. There is also a specific longstop date of July 23, 2028, after which postponement or cancellation would trigger a resolution to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Gibraltar will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. It features an early resolution condition if Gibraltar is eliminated before the conclusion of the tournament.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Gibraltar wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible under UEFA rules for Gibraltar to win the tournament, such as by being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution decisions rely primarily on official information from UEFA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution and postponement cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if postponed past this date, cancelled, or no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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