Will Denmark win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Last captured price
0.85¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.85%
$3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves clearly based on whether Denmark wins the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament according to official UEFA information. The rules explicitly provide for early resolution to 'No' if the team is eliminated or mathematically unable to win under tournament rules. There is also a clear long-stop date of July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, after which cancellation or postponement triggers a resolution to 'Other'. Because the outcome relies on an official sporting result from a recognized governing body, ambiguity and decider latitude are minimal.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Denmark will win the UEFA EURO 2028 championship tournament. Resolution depends on the official tournament winner, with a fallback provision if the event is delayed or cancelled past a set date.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Denmark wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Denmark to win the tournament under UEFA rules, including elimination during play or qualifying. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed past this date or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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