Will Czech Republic win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$2.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward and rely on official tournament outcomes from UEFA. Participants should note that the market features an early resolution mechanic: it will resolve to No immediately once it becomes mathematically impossible for the Czech Republic to win, such as upon elimination during qualifying or the tournament proper. Additionally, if the tournament is cancelled, prolonged, or postponed past July 23, 2028, the market resolves to Other rather than waiting indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Czech Republic will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. It features an early resolution condition if the team is eliminated prior to the final.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Czech Republic wins the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the Czech Republic to win per UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed beyond July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution decisions rely primarily on official information from UEFA, with a consensus of credible reporting accepted as an alternative.
Key dates
- Tournament completion deadline: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by 11:59 PM ET on this date
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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