Will Cyprus win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Current price
2.05¢
+0.35¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.05%
$1.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The outcome depends directly on the official winner of UEFA EURO 2028 as determined by UEFA. The rules specify an early resolution mechanism, meaning the market will resolve to No as soon as Cyprus is mathematically eliminated from contention, such as during qualification or playoff stages. If the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond July 23, 2028 without a winner, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Cyprus will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. It features provisions for early resolution if Cyprus is mathematically or officially eliminated from contention, as well as an "Other" resolution if the tournament is significantly delayed.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Cyprus wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Cyprus to win the UEFA EURO 2028 under UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs or qualifiers. The market resolves to Other if the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed beyond July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from UEFA will serve as the primary source of resolution, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution cutoff date: — The market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed past this deadline or no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.