Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Last captured price
0.95¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.95%
$2.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria for this market are straightforward, relying primarily on official tournament results from UEFA to determine the champion. The market includes an early resolution trigger that allows it to resolve to No as soon as Bosnia and Herzegovina are officially eliminated from contention during qualifying or the tournament itself. A specific long-stop deadline of July 23, 2028, handles potential cancellations or prolonged postponements by resolving to Other, ensuring clear boundaries without subjective edge cases.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bosnia and Herzegovina will win the UEFA EURO 2028 football tournament.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Bosnia and Herzegovina wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Bosnia and Herzegovina to win the tournament under UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution cutoff date: — Market resolves to Other if postponed after 11:59 PM ET or if no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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