Will SV Elversberg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Last captured price
0.3¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.3%
$54K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, relying primarily on official Bundesliga reporting with consensus reporting as a secondary source. Participants should note the early resolution provision, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for the named club to win the title. Additionally, if the season is cancelled or postponed beyond June 14, 2027, without a declared champion, the market resolves to Other rather than waiting indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether SV Elversberg wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship. The market can resolve early to No if winning becomes impossible under league rules prior to the season's conclusion.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if SV Elversberg wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for SV Elversberg to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per league rules, such as elimination in playoffs, or if another team wins. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from the Bundesliga, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if no champion is declared or the season is postponed past this date.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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