Will SC Paderborn be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
0.2¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.2%
$80.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves based on official Bundesliga information regarding the champion of the 2026-27 season, with reporting consensus permitted as a secondary check. The outcome is unambiguous, but participants should note two specific structural clauses: the market can resolve to "No" prior to the end of the season as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the title, and the market resolves to "Other" if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, or concludes without a declared winner.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether SC Paderborn will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if SC Paderborn wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for SC Paderborn to win the championship under Bundesliga rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the Bundesliga serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — The season must declare a winner by this time or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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