Will Schalke 04 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Last captured price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$80.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 German Bundesliga season. Holders should note an early resolution rule: if it becomes mathematically impossible for the team to win the championship at any point during the season, the market can resolve to No immediately rather than waiting for the season's conclusion. If the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, or no winner is crowned by that deadline, the market resolves to Other. Official Bundesliga information serves as the primary source, with consensus reporting available as a secondary option.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether FC Schalke 04 will win the 2026-27 German Bundesliga championship title.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Schalke 04 wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Schalke 04 to win the title under Bundesliga rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. Official information from the Bundesliga serves as the primary resolution source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this time, or no champion is determined.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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