Will Hamburger SV be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
0.2¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.2%
$125.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market straightforwardly resolves based on the winner of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season, primarily verified through official league information with credible reporting as a secondary source. Note that the market can resolve early to "No" as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for the specified team to win the championship. If the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, or fails to crown a champion by that cutoff, the market will resolve to "Other".
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Hamburger SV will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship. It can resolve to No early if the team is mathematically eliminated before the season concludes.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Hamburger SV wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if another team wins or if it becomes mathematically impossible under league rules for Hamburger SV to win, such as elimination. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. Resolution is decided using official information from the Bundesliga or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff deadline: — Resolves to Other if the season is postponed past this time or no winner is declared
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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