Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Last captured price
0.4¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.4%
$111.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is anchored directly to the official winner of the 2026-27 German Bundesliga. The rules provide an early resolution mechanism, meaning this market can resolve to No before the season finishes once Werder Bremen is mathematically eliminated from winning the title. A specific backstop date of June 14, 2027, handles potential cancellations or prolonged postponements by resolving to Other. The primary authority is the league itself, leaving minimal room for subjective dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Werder Bremen will win the 2026-27 German Bundesliga championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Werder Bremen wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Werder Bremen to win the title under Bundesliga rules, such as elimination from contention. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. Resolution is determined using official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this date, or if no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Bundesliga official information or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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