Will Union Berlin be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Last captured price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$113.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship as determined by the Bundesliga or credible reporting consensus. The rules include an early resolution clause that will resolve the market to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for the team to win the title. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, or fails to produce a declared winner by that date, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Union Berlin will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship. It features specific early-resolution criteria if the team is mathematically eliminated and includes an Other resolution outcome if the season is disrupted.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Union Berlin wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Union Berlin to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per league rules, such as being eliminated in playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from the Bundesliga, with a consensus of credible reporting also accepted.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the season is postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.