Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
0.55¢
−0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.55%
$93.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market clearly defines the winning condition based on official Bundesliga results for the 2026-27 season. Participants should note the early resolution provision, which resolves the market to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for FC Augsburg to win the title during the season. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, unresolved, or delayed past June 14, 2027, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely. While official league communications serve as the primary authority, backup reliance on a consensus of reporting is permitted.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether FC Augsburg will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if FC Augsburg wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for FC Augsburg to win the title under Bundesliga rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the Bundesliga serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Season postponement or resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if cancelled, postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date, or if no winner is declared
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.