Will 1. FC Köln be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$65K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market relies on official Bundesliga information to determine the champion, making the outcome criteria straightforward. Market participants should note the early resolution mechanism: the market will resolve to No immediately once it becomes impossible for 1. FC Köln to win the title under league rules, rather than waiting for the season to finish. Furthermore, if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or fails to declare a winner by that deadline, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether 1. FC Köln will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship. The market has an 'Other' resolution outcome if the season is cancelled or no winner is declared by a specific date.
How it resolves
This market resolves Yes if 1. FC Köln wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship. This market resolves No if 1. FC Köln does not win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship, including if they are eliminated from contention according to Bundesliga rules. This market resolves Other if the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, or if it is postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. The resolution will be determined by official information from the Bundesliga, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
official information from the Bundesliga
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·
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