Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
0.15¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$83.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market outcome is tied directly to the official winner of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season as determined by official league information, with credible reporting as a secondary source. The criteria are standard and unambiguous. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which resolves the market to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for the team to win the title. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, or no champion is declared by that date, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether 1. FSV Mainz 05 will win the 2026–27 Bundesliga championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Mainz 05 wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Mainz 05 to win the title according to Bundesliga rules, such as through playoff elimination. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed beyond June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the Bundesliga serves as the primary resolution source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this date, or if no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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