Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
Current price
0.2¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.2%
$73.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season according to official league information, with credible reporting as a secondary source. The rules include an early resolution mechanism that settles the market to No as soon as TSG Hoffenheim is mathematically eliminated from winning the championship. Additionally, a clear hard deadline of June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET is established, resolving the market to Other if the season is cancelled, prolonged, or fails to produce a declared winner by that time.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether TSG Hoffenheim will win the 2026-27 Bundesliga championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if TSG Hoffenheim wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or officially impossible for TSG Hoffenheim to win the title under Bundesliga rules, such as being eliminated in playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from the Bundesliga, with a consensus of credible reporting accepted as an alternative.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — The season must declare a winner by this time or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the Bundesliga, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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