PolymarketCloses · in 254 daysPart of NBA: 2027 Champion →

Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Current price

1.05¢

+0.1¢ · 24h

Implied probability 1.05%
$895.7K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 0.95–1.05¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The market clearly resolves based on whether the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026-27 NBA Championship. The primary decider is official information from the NBA, with consensus reporting available as a secondary reference. Participants should note that the market allows for early resolution to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from contention. Additionally, if the season is delayed past June 30, 2027, or cancelled without a champion, the market resolves to an unexpected outcome rather than waiting indefinitely, and an alphabetical tie-breaker exists in the improbable scenario of co-champions.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Med
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Med

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $3M within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
0.9¢0.95¢1¢1.05¢1.1¢11:0119:0002:5810:56
0.9¢0.95¢1¢1.05¢1.1¢Oct 12Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19
0.8¢0.9¢1¢1.1¢Jul 31Aug 27Sep 22Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026-27 NBA championship. Resolution includes a specific tiebreaker rule favoring alphabetical order if multiple winners are declared.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Atlanta Hawks are determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared champions, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team is eliminated or it becomes impossible for them to be named champion per NBA rules, or if another team wins. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared by that time. The resolution source is official information from the NBA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Key dates

  • Postponement and championship declaration deadline: — Market resolves to Other if postponed after or no champion is declared by this time.

Resolution source

Official information from the NBA, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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