Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Current price
1.15¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.15%
$977K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The outcome is clearly defined by whether the specified team wins the 2026-27 NBA Championship according to official NBA information, with credible reporting as an allowable backup. The market permits early resolution to 'No' as soon as the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated from winning the title. A hard cutoff is set for June 30, 2027, after which an uncompleted season or unannounced champion resolves to 'Other'. An unusual tie-break rule resolves by alphabetical order if multiple champions are declared, though this scenario is extraordinarily unlikely in official NBA play.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Portland Trail Blazers will win the 2026-27 NBA championship. If multiple teams share the title, resolution favors the team whose name comes first alphabetically.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Portland Trail Blazers are determined as the NBA champion for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared winners, resolution favors the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team does not win the title or is eliminated from contention. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion has been declared by that deadline. Resolution is decided using official information from the NBA or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement and Champion Declaration Cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if cancelled, postponed past this time, or if no champion is named.
Resolution source
Official information from the NBA or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.