Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Current price
2.65¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.65%
$1.1M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market clearly defines winning the 2026-27 NBA championship as the condition for a positive outcome. The rules allow for early resolution to No as soon as the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated from championship contention. If the season is cancelled, not concluded, or postponed beyond June 30, 2027, the market resolves to an Other outcome rather than Yes or No. The primary resolution source is official communication from the NBA, with credible reporting consensus available as a fallback.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Houston Rockets will be determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Resolution includes a tiebreaker rule favoring the team listed first alphabetically if multiple winners are declared.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Houston Rockets are determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team does not win the championship or if it becomes impossible for them to be named champion per NBA rules, such as through elimination. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared by that time. The resolution source is official information from the NBA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Championship resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed past this time, or if no champion is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from the NBA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.