Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Current price
1.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.05%
$1.1M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution condition is straightforward, depending on whether the Golden State Warriors win the 2026-27 NBA championship. The rules allow for early resolution to No as soon as the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated. Official NBA information serves as the primary source, with consensus credible reporting permitted as a backup. A definitive cutoff date of June 30, 2027, triggers a resolution to Other if the season is delayed past that point or cancelled.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Golden State Warriors will be determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Resolution includes an alphabetical tiebreaker if multiple winners are declared, as well as a specific deadline triggering an Other resolution if unfulfilled.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Golden State Warriors are determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if the team is not named champion, or if it becomes impossible for them to be named champion under NBA rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe. Resolution will be determined using official information from the NBA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement and Champion Declaration Cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the event is postponed past this deadline or if no champion is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from the NBA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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