Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: December 31, 2027 at 84% (+6 pts in 24h) · first close Jul 1, 2027 · $1.2M total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether an official announcement is made regarding a merger or acquisition between Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX by specific milestone deadlines.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of multiple date-based milestone markets. Because each market asks whether an announcement occurs by a specific deadline, an announcement occurring prior to an earlier deadline would also satisfy the condition for later deadlines, allowing more than one market to resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if it is officially announced that Tesla will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX (or vice versa) by 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline. The actual completion of the merger is not required. Partial sales count only if the transaction results in a controlling interest (typically over 50% equity or equivalent voting control). If no qualifying announcement is made by the deadline, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies primarily on official statements from Tesla or SpaceX, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- First milestone deadline: — Deadline is 11:59 PM ET
- Second milestone deadline: — Deadline is 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from Tesla or SpaceX, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 84% | ▲ 6 | Med | Med | |
| June 30, 2027 | 77% | — | Low | Med | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | Med | Med | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | — | — | Low | High | Resolved |
| January 31, 2027 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| February 28, 2027 | — | — | Not rated | — |