Idaho Senate Election Winner
3 live outcomes · highest priced: Jim Risch (R) at 96% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $172.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Idaho U.S. Senate election. Markets measure which political party or specific candidate will win the seat, accounting for major party nominees as well as potential independent or third-party candidates.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains one market per political party or individual candidate. Because a single election winner is determined for the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes, while all other outcomes resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A market for a party resolves Yes if that party's nominee wins the election. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market resolves based on the replacement nominee. Candidates running as independents are not covered by major party options. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate; if they do not agree, resolution relies on official certification.
Key dates
- Election Year: — The election takes place during the 2026 midterm election cycle.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if the three sources do not all call the race for the same candidate)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Risch (R) | 96% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Todd Achilles (I) | 4% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Democrat | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |