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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$31.8K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in November?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has exceptionally clear resolution mechanics.

Read the full assessment

This market has exceptionally clear resolution mechanics. It relies strictly on a single, named objective data feed: the 1-minute candle high for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance. The timeframe is explicitly bounded through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. There is virtually no source discretion or ambiguity, though participants should be aware that only the specific Binance BTC/USDT trading pair counts, meaning brief price spikes on other exchanges or different pairs will not trigger a positive resolution.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

31%

chance

▼ −48 pts · 24h

Yes31¢
No70¢
↑ 75,000 · Yes · 1MO 81.5 H 94.0 L 23.5 C 30.5−51.0 (−62.6%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −52 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:40 UTC

The market fell from 87% to 31% as part of a broader repricing across 11 related Bitcoin price target outcomes, which served as the likely driver of the move.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 46% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): +0.6% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 11 related outcomes moved in the same window, 6 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,500 (down), ↓ 70,000 (down), ↑ 77,500 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 04:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of $75,000 on Binance during November. It relies strictly on the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart on Binance and excludes data from other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair shows a final High price equal to or greater than $75,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026. Price action before market creation does not count. The market resolves to No if that price threshold is not reached within the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data; other exchanges, trading pairs, and spot markets are disregarded.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·