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Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules are explicit and leave virtually no room for interpretation.

Read the full assessment

The rules are explicit and leave virtually no room for interpretation. Resolution is tied directly to a single, objectively verifiable data point: whether any 1-minute candle high for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reaches or exceeds $95,000 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves immediately upon hitting the target price or defaults to No at the end of the month. A specific URL and chart interval are defined, eliminating decider discretion, though participants should be aware that only Binance BTC/USDT data counts, excluding prices on other exchanges.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

1%

chance

▼ −0.1 pts · 24h

Yes1¢
No99¢
↑ 95,000 · Yes · 1MO 5.5 H 9.4 L 0.6 C 1.1−4.5 (−80.9%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $95,000 in November. It is tied strictly to the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data on Binance, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price of $95,000 or greater between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified period. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart data.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·