Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules are exceptionally precise and objective.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules are exceptionally precise and objective. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices from Binance for the BTC/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle hits or exceeds $100,000, and No otherwise. Explicitly excluding other trading pairs or exchanges leaves no room for source discretion or competing interpretations.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 during the month of November. Resolution relies solely on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $100,000 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair on 1-minute chart settings; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·