Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 9-15?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define the exact trigger condition, time window (12:00 AM ET on November 9 to 11:59 PM ET on November 15), and the single authoritative data source (Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candles).
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define the exact trigger condition, time window (12:00 AM ET on November 9 to 11:59 PM ET on November 15), and the single authoritative data source (Binance 1-minute BTC/USDT candles). Early resolution occurs automatically as soon as any candle's final high hits or exceeds $82,000, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −1.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches or exceeds a price of $82,000 between November 9 and November 15. Its resolution is unusual because it relies exclusively on 1-minute candle high prices from Binance's BTC/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $82,000 between 12:00 AM ET on November 9 and 11:59 PM ET on November 15. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds that price during the specified window. Only price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair is considered; prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded. Resolution is determined by Binance chart data.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·