Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 9-15?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules are unambiguous and rely entirely on a clear, single data source.
Read the full assessment
The rules are unambiguous and rely entirely on a clear, single data source. Resolution is decided strictly by whether any 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reaches a final High of $86,000 or greater between November 9 at 12:00 AM ET and November 15 at 11:59 PM ET. The criteria explicitly exclude other exchanges, pairs, or metrics, and provide for immediate positive resolution as soon as the threshold is met, leaving no latitude or subjective judgement to the resolver.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.65 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $86,000 between November 9 and November 15.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair reaches a final High price equal to or greater than $86,000 between November 9 at 12:00 AM ET and November 15 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded. Binance serves as the sole resolution source.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·