Will Meta be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a specified financial database or pricing feed such as Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, or official exchange data.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a specified financial database or pricing feed such as Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, or official exchange data. Because market capitalization can vary depending on which share classes are counted, foreign exchange conversion rates, and whether state-owned or unlisted enterprises like Saudi Aramco are considered, relying on reporting consensus creates subjectivity. Additionally, while the target date is set for market close on November 30, 2026, the rules do not specify which time zone or specific stock exchange closing bell serves as the benchmark if leading global companies trade across different international markets.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Meta Platforms will have the highest market capitalization among all global companies at market close on November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Meta is the largest company in the world by market capitalization on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The market resolves to No if another company holds the largest market capitalization at that time. Resolution will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·