Watch for: The market relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an explicit financial data provider, stock index, or official market feed to establish market capitalization figures.
Read the full assessment
The market relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an explicit financial data provider, stock index, or official market feed to establish market capitalization figures. While the target date and timing at market close are clear, different financial reporting outlets can occasionally calculate shares outstanding, foreign currency conversions, or dual-class share structures differently, leaving the final outcome open to subjective judgment by the resolution decider.
Resolver
High
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
6%
chance
▲ +1.35 pts · 24h
Yes6¢
No94¢
NVIDIA · Yes · 1MO 27.5 H 30.0 L 2.8 C 5.6−21.9 (−79.6%)
The market price fell from 26% to 14%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver.
Largest hourly change: 01:00 UTC, 39% of the net 24-hour change.
Closes 21 days after the move hour.
News check pending.
A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.
AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 07:50 UTC
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether NVIDIA will hold the highest market capitalization among all global companies as of market close on November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if NVIDIA is the largest company in the world by market cap at market close on November 30, 2026. The market resolves to No if any other company holds the largest market cap at that time. The resolution outcome is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.