Tech & ScienceCloses · in 17 days$135.6K volumePart of: Largest Company end of November 2026? →

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?

Gotcha risk

Medium

1 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The market relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an explicit financial data provider, stock index, or official market feed to establish market capitalization figures.

Read the full assessment

The market relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an explicit financial data provider, stock index, or official market feed to establish market capitalization figures. While the target date and timing at market close are clear, different financial reporting outlets can occasionally calculate shares outstanding, foreign currency conversions, or dual-class share structures differently, leaving the final outcome open to subjective judgment by the resolution decider.

Resolver
High
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

6%

chance

▲ +1.35 pts · 24h

Yes6¢
No94¢
NVIDIA · Yes · 1MO 27.5 H 30.0 L 2.8 C 5.6−21.9 (−79.6%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −12 pts24h · detected 9 Nov 2026, 07:40 UTC

The market price fell from 26% to 14%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 01:00 UTC, 39% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 21 days after the move hour.

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 07:50 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market explained

This market measures whether NVIDIA will hold the highest market capitalization among all global companies as of market close on November 30, 2026.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if NVIDIA is the largest company in the world by market cap at market close on November 30, 2026. The market resolves to No if any other company holds the largest market cap at that time. The resolution outcome is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

A consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·