Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The question asks a binary question about Alphabet, while the rules state the market will resolve to the largest company in the world, which typically implies a multi-choice setup or a Yes/No determination based on whether Alphabet is that company.
Read the full assessment
The question asks a binary question about Alphabet, while the rules state the market will resolve to the largest company in the world, which typically implies a multi-choice setup or a Yes/No determination based on whether Alphabet is that company. The rules specify market close on November 30, 2026, but do not designate an official financial data provider or exchange source for market capitalization figures, relying instead on a consensus of credible reporting. While calculating market cap at close is generally straightforward, relying on reporting consensus rather than a specific financial database introduces latitude if valuations among top firms are close.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Alphabet will have the highest market capitalization in the world on November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Alphabet is the largest company in the world by market capitalization as of market close on November 30, 2026. The market resolves to No if another company holds the largest market capitalization at that time. The determination will be decided by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·