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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$231.4K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?

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Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution.

Read the full assessment

The rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low price meeting or falling below $65,000 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves immediately upon meeting the threshold, and a specific direct URL and chart configuration are designated as the sole resolution source.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

48%

chance

▲ +29 pts · 24h

Yes48¢
No53¢
↓ 65,000 · Yes · 1MO 17.5 H 60.0 L 7.5 C 47.5+30.0 (+171.4%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +40 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 15:10 UTC

The market's implied probability rose from 20% to 57% as Bitcoin dropped 1.2% in the hour and 3.2% over 24 hours on Binance, making a dip to $65,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 75% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.2% in the move hour, −3.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 10 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 67,500 (up), ↑ 75,000 (down), ↓ 70,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $65,000 or lower during November. Resolution relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $65,000 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below this price during that period. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart data; prices from other trading pairs, spot markets, or exchanges do not count.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·