brierpoınt
CryptoCloses · in 17 days$187.9K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?

Trade on Polymarket ↗Referral link

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear and deterministic rules.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear and deterministic rules. It resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle reaches a High of $82,500 or higher between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30; otherwise, it resolves to No at the end of the month. The resolution source is explicitly defined as the Binance BTC/USDT chart at the 1-minute interval, removing decider discretion. Participants should simply note that prices from other exchanges or trading pairs do not count.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

5%

chance

▼ −9.05 pts · 24h

Yes5¢
No95¢
↑ 82,500 · Yes · 1MO 50.5 H 81.5 L 3.5 C 5.0−45.5 (−90.2%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −12 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 15:40 UTC

The market fell from 20% to 8% as Bitcoin dropped 0.69% in the hour and 3.17% over 24 hours on Binance, making reaching $82,500 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 25% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −3.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 10 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 75,000 (down), ↓ 70,000 (up), ↑ 77,500 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 15:51 UTC

Earlier

▼ −16 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 15:55 UTCThe odds of Bitcoin reaching $82,500 dropped from 33% to 17% as Bitcoin fell 1.6% on Binance in the hour of the move, moving further away from the target price level and making it less likely to be reached.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:07 UTC

Earlier

▼ −11 pts · 9 Nov 2026, 17:55 UTCThe market's price fell from 37% to 26% as Bitcoin dropped 2.1% on Binance in the move hour, making reaching the $82,500 price level less likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 18:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $82,500 on Binance during November. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices for the Binance BTC/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $82,500 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during that timeframe. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are excluded. The deciding source is Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart data.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·