PolymarketCloses · in 438 daysPart of When will Bitcoin hit $100k? →

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?

Current price

No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any one-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT trading pair reaches a High price of at least $100,000 before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, and otherwise resolves to No. The source is explicitly defined as the official Binance chart data, leaving no room for discretionary interpretation. Position holders should simply keep in mind that price action on other exchanges or alternative currency pairs will not count toward resolution.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.

Price history range

Price history

Market price

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $100,000 before the end of 2027, relying strictly on 1-minute candle high data from Binance's BTC/USDT pair.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair registers a final High price of $100,000 or greater between the market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027. The market resolves to No if no such candle reaches that threshold by the deadline. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart data is the sole deciding source; price data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets is disregarded.

Key dates

  • Resolution deadline: — The final cutoff time for Bitcoin to hit the price target.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart

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