Will Shrek 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify a single, authoritative benchmark: Google's official 2026 Year in Search Global list for the Movies category.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify a single, authoritative benchmark: Google's official 2026 Year in Search Global list for the Movies category. Navigation instructions and tie-breaking criteria for alternative spellings or phrasing are explicitly defined. The market resolves immediately once the official list is published, with a clear fallback resolution to Other if Google does not publish the list by March 31, 2027.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether "Shrek 5" will be the most searched movie globally on Google in 2026, as determined by Google's official Year in Search list. The market's resolution is unusual because it relies on a specific, future-dated list from Google Trends.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if "Shrek 5" is ranked #1 on Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The list is expected to be found on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, under Global → Entertainment → Movies. The market resolves No if any other movie is ranked #1 on that same list. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. Search terms clearly referring to a listed movie, including abbreviations or alternate spellings, count towards that movie. If a search term refers to multiple listed movies, the alphabetically first movie determines the outcome. The resolution source for this market is the specified list as published by Google.
Resolution source
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·