Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market relies on a specific, named official source: Google's Global Year in Search list in the Movies category for 2026.
Read the full assessment
This market relies on a specific, named official source: Google's Global Year in Search list in the Movies category for 2026. The criteria for identifying the winning title are clearly laid out, including sensible guidance for handling variations or abbreviations of the film's title. Resolution occurs as soon as the official list is published, with a clear fallback resolution to Other if Google fails to publish the list by March 31, 2027.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" will be the most searched movie globally on Google's 2026 Year in Search list. The resolution is unusual because it relies on a specific, future Google publication and has a defined fallback if that publication is not released by a certain date.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026. This includes search terms clearly referring to the movie, such as abbreviations or alternate spellings. If a search term clearly refers to multiple movies listed in this market, the market resolves according to the movie that comes first alphabetically. The market resolves No if any other movie is ranked #1 on the specified list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source is the specified list as published by Google, expected to be found on the Google Trends Year in Search hub under Global → Entertainment → Movies.
Resolution source
Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·