Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify an objective and authoritative resolution source: the number one movie on Google's official Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify an objective and authoritative resolution source: the number one movie on Google's official Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026. The URL path, navigation expectations, and name-matching standards are explicitly defined, leaving minimal room for decider interpretation. There is a precise cutoff of March 31, 2027, with a predefined outcome if the list is not published by Google. A reader should simply note that resolution depends strictly on Google's official 2026 Year in Search release rather than raw search volume metrics from third-party tracking tools.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Project Hail Mary will rank as the #1 globally searched movie in Google's Year in Search list for 2026. Although the title refers to 'this year', the rules explicitly specify the 2026 global rankings.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Project Hail Mary ranks #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global 'Movies' list for 2026. Terms that clearly refer to the movie, such as abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing, count toward it. If a search term refers to multiple listed terms, alphabetical order determines the match. The market resolves to No if another movie ranks #1 on the list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source is the official list published by Google on its Year in Search hub.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·