Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market relies on a definitive, named official source: Google's Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026.
Read the full assessment
The market relies on a definitive, named official source: Google's Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026. Resolution occurs as soon as Google publishes the official list, and the rules clearly outline how search term variations and potential navigation changes are handled. If Google fails to publish the list by March 31, 2027, the market cleanly resolves to Other, leaving minimal room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
5%
chance▼ −0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Avengers: Doomsday will be ranked as the #1 movie in Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Avengers: Doomsday is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026. Abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasings clearly referring to the title count toward it, and alphabetical precedence applies if a term refers to multiple listed options. The market resolves to No if another movie finishes at rank #1. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified 2026 list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided by the official list published by Google on the Google Trends Year in Search hub.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·