Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market resolves strictly against a named authoritative source: Google's official Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026.
Read the full assessment
The market resolves strictly against a named authoritative source: Google's official Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026. The rules provide specific navigation instructions to locate the ranking on Google Trends, clarify that the list itself governs regardless of URL changes, and handle variations in title phrasing. Resolution occurs immediately upon the publication of the 2026 list, with a clear fallback deadline of March 31, 2027, resolving to Other if Google fails to publish the list.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" is ranked #1 on Google's Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026. Notably, while the title asks about "this year", the rules specifically evaluate Google's 2026 global ranking list.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026. Search terms clearly referring to the title via abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing count toward it; if a term refers to multiple options, alphabetical order applies. The market resolves No if another film ranks #1 on the list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified 2026 list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by Google's official published list.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·