Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market resolves directly on the top-ranked movie in Google's official Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026.
Read the full assessment
The market resolves directly on the top-ranked movie in Google's official Year in Search Global Movies list for 2026. The source is a specific, well-known annual release from Google, and the rules explicitly handle potential title variations, spelling differences, and tie-breaking alphabetically. A clear deadline is established: if the list is not published by March 31, 2027, the market resolves to Other. The mechanics are transparent with minimal decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will rank #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" ranks #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026. Search terms that clearly refer to the title via abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing count toward it. If the #1 search term refers to multiple listed terms, resolution goes to the term that appears first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if another movie takes the #1 ranking. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified 2026 list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Google's published list serves as the deciding resolution source.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global Movies list
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·