Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$4.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined by which team wins the official Ligue 1 title for the specified season. Holders should note an early resolution rule that allows the market to settle to No as soon as a team is mathematically eliminated from contention before the season concludes. There is also a firm cutoff date of June 14, 2027, after which an uncompleted season resolves to Other rather than remaining open. Official information from Ligue 1 is the primary decider, though the rules permit falling back on a consensus of credible reporting.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Le Mans will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. A notable condition is that the market will resolve to "Other" if the season is cancelled, postponed past a specific cutoff, or if no winner is declared.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Le Mans wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or structurally impossible for Le Mans to win the championship according to Ligue 1 rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Resolution is decided primarily using official information from Ligue 1, with a consensus of credible reporting serving as a secondary source.
Key dates
- Season resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared or if the season is postponed past this time.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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