PolymarketCloses · in 239 daysPart of Ligue 1: 2027 Champion →

Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?

Current price

1.95¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 1.95%
$83.4K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 0.85–2.1¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The market has straightforward criteria tied to the winner of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship, referencing official league information as the primary decider alongside credible reporting. A position holder should note two specific operational rules: the market can resolve to No early as soon as mathematical elimination occurs, and if the season is cancelled or postponed beyond June 14, 2027, without a declared winner, the market resolves to Other.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Med
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Med

Liquidity

High tradability

Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.

Book depth $170.6K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
1.85¢1.9¢1.95¢2¢18:5102:5010:4818:46
0.5¢1¢1.5¢2¢2.5¢Oct 11Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18
0¢2¢4¢6¢Aug 3Aug 29Sep 23Oct 18

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether Lens will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. It includes a specific cutoff date after which an unresolved season resolves to Other.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Lens wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Lens to win the championship under Ligue 1 rules, such as by being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution decisions rely on official information from Ligue 1 or a consensus of credible reporting.

Key dates

  • Season resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this time, or no winner is declared.

Resolution source

Official information from Ligue 1 or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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