Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$3.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The outcome is anchored to official information from Ligue 1, with consensus credible reporting permitted as a backup. The rules specify that the market resolves to No early if it becomes mathematically impossible for Auxerre to win the championship under official league rules. If the season is cancelled, delayed past June 14, 2027, or no winner is crowned by that date, the market resolves to Other. These conditions provide clear mechanics with minimal interpretive ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Auxerre will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. A key feature is that the market can resolve to Other if the season is canceled, postponed past the specified deadline, or lacks a declared winner.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Auxerre wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Auxerre to win the championship under Ligue 1 rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Ligue 1 serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is postponed beyond this time or no winner is declared by then.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.