Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$13.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship as declared by the league or credible media consensus. Market participants should note two specific structural clauses: the market will resolve early to No if mathematical elimination occurs prior to season completion, and will resolve to Other if the season is cancelled, delayed past June 14, 2027, or no winner is crowned.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Troyes will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship, featuring early resolution to No upon mathematical elimination and resolution to Other if the season is canceled or unresolved by the deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Troyes wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Troyes to win the championship per Ligue 1 rules, such as elimination in playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from Ligue 1 serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
Key dates
- Postponement and cancellation deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past this time, or no winner is declared
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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