Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$3.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows standard sporting outcome criteria, relying primarily on official information from Ligue 1. The rules include an early resolution clause allowing the market to resolve to No as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for Lorient to win the championship. There is also a defined longstop deadline of June 14, 2027, resolving to Other if the season is cancelled, prolonged past that date, or fails to declare a winner.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Lorient will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship, featuring fallback conditions if the season is disrupted.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lorient wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Lorient to win the championship per league rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is decided using official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Season completion and winner deadline: — Season must conclude and declare a winner by this time or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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