Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
0.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.05%
$11.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly depends on whether Toulouse wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 title. The primary resolution source is official information from the league, with credible reporting as a secondary backup. Market participants should be aware of an early resolution clause allowing the market to resolve to No as soon as it is mathematically impossible for the team to win the championship. Additionally, if the season is cancelled, delayed past June 14, 2027, or no winner is crowned by that date, the market will resolve to Other rather than waiting indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market tracks whether Toulouse will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship, featuring early resolution if the team is eliminated and a fallback outcome if the season is disrupted.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Toulouse wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No as soon as it becomes impossible for Toulouse to win the championship per the rules of Ligue 1, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Resolution is determined using official information from Ligue 1, with a consensus of credible reporting serving as an alternative source.
Key dates
- Season completion deadline: — Market resolves to Other if cancelled, postponed past this date, or if no winner is declared by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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