Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$38.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship according to official league information, with credible reporting as a secondary source. Participants should be aware of two specific mechanics: the market can resolve to No early as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for Strasbourg to win the title, and if the season is cancelled, delayed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or leaves no declared winner by that deadline, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Strasbourg will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market features specific fallback provisions if the season is postponed or cancelled without a winner declared before a set deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Strasbourg wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes mathematically or officially impossible for Strasbourg to win the championship under Ligue 1 rules at any point. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed past June 14, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Official information from Ligue 1 serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting accepted as an alternative.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution deadline: — The season must declare a winner by this time or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from Ligue 1, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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